High Probability Advisors, LLC logo

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Updated today

Client AUM

$885,320,012

Clients

344

Advisors

8

across 3 offices

About

High Probability Advisors (HPA) serves individual and high‑net‑worth clients, as well as trusts, estates, corporations and retirement plans, offering portfolio management, financial planning and retirement‑plan advisory services (including serving as a 3(38) manager and advisor to pooled employer plans). The firm reports approximately $1.046 billion in assets under management across about 344 client relationships and is staffed by an eight‑person advisory team.

HPA develops individualized portfolio allocations through client interviews and may manage accounts on either a discretionary or non‑discretionary basis, using ETFs, mutual funds, individual equity and fixed‑income securities, REITs and cash vehicles. The firm describes use of quantitative, fundamental and technical analysis, conducts at least monthly monitoring, and provides customized quarterly reports that show portfolio positions and performance versus relevant benchmarks.

Compared with many team firms, HPA’s ADV indicates it presents performance information in its materials — including performance results and hypothetical performance examples — and also references third‑party ratings, which the firm discloses in its regulatory materials. The brochure also notes a minority ownership and referral relationship with accounting firm Bonadio & Co., LLP (which HPA may recommend to clients) and describes custody practices that include standing letters of authorization, both of which are operational features investors may wish to consider.

Client services

Financial planning Portfolio management Pension consulting Selection of other advisers

Expertise

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.)

Occupation focus

Founder/Business Owner Retired

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Fee options

Percentage

$0 - $2 million: 0.70% $2 million - $5 million: 0.60% $5 million - $10 million: 0.50% $10 million - $25 million: 0.35% $25 million - $50 million: 0.30% $50 million+: 0.25%

Other

Account minimum: $500,000 Minimum fee: Minimum annual fee of $3,750, negotiable or waivable Fee-only: Fee-based, no commissions

Main office

See office

167 Sully's Trail, Suite 300

Pittsford NY 14534

Advisors at this office

5

Most active in

California · Delaware · Florida · Massachusetts · Michigan · New Hampshire · New York · North Carolina · Texas

Also doing business as

Auxilium Capital Management, LLC · High Probability Advisors, LLC

Disclosures

Exclamation point means they have disclosures of this type. Check mark means no disclosures of this type were found.

Business activities & affiliations

Advisors at this firm

user avatar

Matthew N

CFP®, Series 63

Pittsford, NY

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Matthew Newman is a Certified Financial Planner (CFP®) with 11 years of industry experience. He has worked at High Probability Advisors, LLC since 2020 and previously held roles at Cadaret, Grant & Co., Inc. and Western NY Asset Management. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, as well as trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, offering portfolio management and financial planning services. The firm employs quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolio allocations and manages approximately $1.046 billion in assets across 344 client relationships.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
user avatar

Stephen C

Series 63, Series 65

Pittsford, NY

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Stephen Carl is a financial advisor at High Probability Advisors, LLC with 10 years of industry experience. He holds Series 63 and Series 65 licenses and previously worked at Howe & Rusling. Outside of his advisory role, he serves as board chairman of Carl Group Enterprises, LLC, a holding company for franchise restaurant stores. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, providing portfolio management, financial planning, and retirement-plan advisory services. The firm uses a combination of quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolio allocations and manages approximately $1.046 billion in assets across an eight-person team.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
user avatar

Michael J

CFA®, Series 63, Series 65

Pittsford, NY

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Michael Jones is a CFA® charterholder and securities-licensed financial advisor with 10 years of industry experience. He has been with High Probability Advisors, LLC since 2017. Jones serves as chairman of the board at Reef Consulting & Investment, Inc., a private equity investment partnership. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, as well as trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, offering portfolio management and financial planning services. The firm employs quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolios and manages approximately $1.046 billion in assets across about 344 client relationships.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
user avatar

Jake C

Series 63, Series 65

Albany, NY

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Jake Cooper is a financial advisor at High Probability Advisors, LLC with 11 years of industry experience. He holds Series 63 and Series 65 designations and has worked previously at Manning & Napier in various roles from 2013 to 2022. Since 2022, he has been with High Probability Advisors. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, as well as trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, providing portfolio management, financial planning, and retirement-plan advisory services. The firm employs a mix of quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolios and manages approximately $1.046 billion in assets across around 344 client relationships.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
user avatar

John M

Series 65, Series 66

Fort Meyers, FL

High Probability Advisors, LLC

John Mann III is a financial advisor at High Probability Advisors, LLC with 16 years of industry experience. He holds Series 65 and Series 66 licenses and has previously worked at Brighthouse Financial and Manning & Napier Advisor Services. Outside of advising, he owns Backyard Social, a food and hospitality business. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, offering portfolio management and financial planning through a team-based approach. The firm uses quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolio allocations and manages approximately $1.046 billion in assets.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
user avatar

Nikki H

Series 63, Series 65

Pittsford, NY

High Probability Advisors, LLC

Nikki Hamblin is a financial advisor at High Probability Advisors, LLC with 20 years of industry experience. She holds Series 63 and Series 65 licenses and has worked at Manning & Napier and LPL Financial among other firms. Hamblin serves on the board of Lakeland Industries and participates in various board committees. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, as well as trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, providing portfolio management, financial planning, and retirement-plan advisory services. The firm uses a combination of quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolio allocations and manages approximately $1.046 billion in assets across 344 client relationships.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
user avatar

George M

CFP®, Series 63, Series 65

Pittsford, NY

High Probability Advisors, LLC

George Marron is a CFP® with eight years of industry experience, currently serving as an advisor at High Probability Advisors, LLC. Prior to joining High Probability Advisors, he worked at High Falls Advisors, Karpus Investment Management, and Manning & Napier in various advisory roles. In addition to his financial advisory work, Marron maintains a solo law practice. High Probability Advisors serves individual and high-net-worth clients, as well as trusts, estates, corporations, and retirement plans, providing portfolio management and financial planning services. The firm employs quantitative, fundamental, and technical analysis to develop individualized portfolio allocations and manages approximately $1 billion in assets across an eight-person advisory team.

Wealth management Retirement plans for business owners (SEP, solo 401k) General tax planning Retirement income strategy College savings (529s, UTMA, etc.) Founder/Business Owner Retired
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